Political strategic level
The Ukrainian leadership has published an action plan for the Kyiv government to act once the country regains control of Crimea. The first step will be the dismantling of the Kerch Bridge, which connects the captured Black Sea peninsula with Russia. Then the traitorous Ukrainian collaborators who worked for the Moscow administration in Crimea will be prosecuted. The less tainted will lose their pensions and public sector jobs. Russian citizens who moved to Crimea after 2014 will be sent home. All real estate transactions registered by the occupiers will also be cancelled. And the future status of the peninsula will be one of the most important aspects of any negotiations to end the current fighting.
Very correct decisions. A good reference for the Lithuanian authorities on how to deal with the fifth column in Lithuania. Those who cry foul over violations of the 'rights of Russian citizens' or persecution can be deprived of their social guarantees and the openly pro-Kremlin element can be put on trains and sent to the Urals, to Muscovy.
What are they to do in Lithuania, the country they hate so much?
China is preparing for the war of the future. It is closely observing the battles in Ukraine and is learning from Russia's mistakes and drawing its own conclusions. According to The New York Times, Chinese military analysts are interested in what innovations and tactics they could use to take over Taiwan. China is particularly interested in Russia's use of supersonic missiles to strike rear targets in Ukraine.
The Chinese are analysing the use of Starlink satellite communications systems by Ukrainian troops to coordinate their actions and to circumvent Russian attempts to disable Ukrainian communications. The Chinese Communist Party has written down in notebooks and underlined several times the text on the Kremlin's successful move to dissuade the West from intervening directly in the war by waving the nuclear flag. The Chinese Government believes that they, too, should expand their nuclear weapons programme.
The main problem with the Russian army, according to Chinese analysts, is the deficiencies in its logistics and troop supply system. However, they point out that China should also prepare for similar challenges when it comes to "future sea crossings, the occupation of islands".
China's military budget is €225 billion. USD 225 billion. It is almost three times that of Russia. However, China is technologically superior and can produce many advanced drones and other weapons.
The Chinese have learnt from the Russia-Ukraine war that there is no need to reduce their ground forces.
At the end of March, Chinese dictator Xi Jinping openly declared that China had begun to prepare for war. Xi has not explained with whom he is going to war, but no one doubts that there is an openly announced plan to invade Taiwan. In addition, China is increasing its military budget by 7% and says it wants to be ready for war with the US by 2027.
Scared? Don't worry, there will be no war. China is threatening, threatening, seeing how the West, and especially the US, reacts. Meanwhile, the West is not sleeping either. Unfortunately, we have to state that a new arms race is beginning.
The Ukrainian Ambassador to Germany, Oleksiy Makeev, has criticised the appeal by former members of the German Social Democratic Party calling for a ceasefire with Russia. The appeal, entitled "Make Peace!", calls on Berlin to join Paris in appealing to countries including Brazil, China, India and Indonesia to mediate a ceasefire.
"This appeal for peace is not an April Fool's joke," Makeev said. "It is pure cynicism towards the many victims of Russian aggression". Makeyev said that the appeal is working to cover up Russian war crimes and Moscow's responsibility for the invasion. He argued that peace can only be achieved if Russia withdraws its troops from Ukrainian territory.
The reaction of the Ukrainian representative is rather over the top. We must realise that the situation is not what it was in February 2022. And Germany is no longer the same. It is supporting Ukraine with heavy weapons, so it should not be accused of complicity with the Kremlin.
Let us consider what will happen if the war drags on for another 15 years, which is essentially what the war criminals in the Kremlin want. Instead of pointless shirt-tearing, it is better to think about how we can hold our shoulders together and ensure continued Western support.
Russia has announced that it will not send fencers to this month's Olympic qualifiers in Poland because of 'unacceptable' conditions. Those unacceptable conditions are Poland's request for Russian athletes to sign a written statement that they do not support Russia's war in Ukraine.
We do not understand what is unacceptable about this?
Yesterday, Moscow and Minsk celebrated Russia-Belarus "unity" day. In 1996, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko and Russian President Boris Yeltsin signed a treaty aimed at creating a union state between the two Slavic neighbours. Yeltsin was just as much a dictator, a war criminal, an implementer of KGB and GRU plans, and Putin merely took over the baton from him.
Vladlen Tatarskiy, the Russian war commentator and terrorist, blew himself up in St Petersburg. According to preliminary reports, at a party for Tatarsky's work in a café owned by Prigozhin, a girl handed a Z-war correspondent a figurine containing explosives.
That's not a good letter "Z". "Zhopa".
Operational level
According to the UK Ministry of Defence, alcohol is to blame for Russia's huge losses in the Ukraine war. "Although Russia has suffered up to 200,000 casualties since the invasion of Ukraine, a significant proportion of these have been for non-combat reasons," the report said. Alcohol is linked not only to casualties, but also to deaths and crime.
Vodka has been, is and will be the great, canonised value and driving force of the Russian world. It is like fuel that does not move without being put into the belly of the beast.
The Ukrainian counter-offensive is expected to begin on the Vuhledar axis. This is a strategic area which, if occupied, would lead to the withdrawal of the occupying troops and the seizure of the main transport routes.
The distance from Vuhledar to Volnovakha, which is the main transport hub for the occupiers, is 40 kilometres. The occupiers are transporting personnel, heavy equipment, fuel and lubricants by rail, so the main task during the counter-attack will be to localise the supply of the Russian army. From Vuhledar to Mariupol it is about 80 kilometres. Once Mariupol has been retaken, the Ukrainian army will not only blockade the Russian units near Mariupol, split the Driskian forces into two, but also cut off the land corridor into Crimea.
The annual spring conscription into the Russian army has begun. According to a presidential decree, up to 147 000 people will be called up. It is not known whether conscripts will be sent to the war with Ukraine, although the Kremlin has said that any conscript can sign a contract and go straight to the front. The Russian defence ministry proposes to allow conscripts to take part in "peacekeeping missions". The spring call-up is likely to coincide with a new wave of mobilisation: in mid-March, people living in Russia's regions started receiving summonses to military registration and conscription offices to "clarify their details".
The Horde will continue to fertilise Ukrainian fields.
At the tactical level
Last day, the Russian occupiers carried out 5 rocket attacks, 32 air strikes and more than 50 volley rocket attacks.
The likelihood of missile and air strikes across Ukraine remains high as the enemy continues to use terror tactics.
The Ukrainian defenders have repelled more than 70 enemy attacks from Bakhmut, Avdiivka, Maryinka and other directions.
The population of the occupied Zaporizhzhya region continues to be actively Russified by forcing them to hold Russian passports.
The Ukrainian Air Force launched 8 air strikes on occupiers' concentrations, rocket and artillery units hit the Driski command post, 3 concentrations of the living force, 3 air defence system positions and 6 other important enemy targets.
Lithuania
Four out of ten Lithuanians are in favour of participating in the Olympic Games, even if the athletes from Russia and Belarus take part.
As true Christians, Lithuanians have always been characterised by tolerance and friendliness. They have never mixed sport and politics, and their artists have from time to time gone to Moscow to catch the sun.
As the Kremlin likes to say, the Labusai are a peaceful nation of farmers and fishermen.
Pictured here, German PzH-2000s fire at the occupiers' positions near Bakhmut.
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