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  • Writer's pictureAurimas Navys

UKRAINIAN GENERAL STAFF DISCUSSES COUNTER-ATTACK OPTIONS (07/02/2023)

Political strategic level
The head of the United Nations warned on Monday that the world is facing challenges that "have not been seen in our lifetime". He expressed fears of a wider war as the first anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine approaches.
Secretary-General Antonio Guterres drew attention to the war in Ukraine, the "accelerating climate catastrophe, the growing nuclear threats", the widening gap between the world's rich and poor, and the "epic geopolitical disagreements" undermining "global solidarity and trust".
A. Guterres called on the 193 members of the General Assembly to change their decision-making mindset and to look at "what will happen to all of us tomorrow - and to act" instead of short-term thinking, which he called "irresponsible" and "immoral". This year's 75th anniversary of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, he said, should serve as a reminder that the basis of all people's inalienable rights is "freedom, justice and peace".
It has been a long time since I have heard such a frank, morally based and value-driven speech. The inertia of society and politicians is terrible, sometimes frustrating even for us and forcing us to rethink what we are doing. But such speeches are hopeful. They show a genuine desire to change and to transform an aggressive, violent and bloody world.
Switzerland is close to breaking with centuries of neutrality. Because of the pro-Ukrainian public and political mood, the government is under pressure to end the ban on the export of Swiss weapons to war zones.
Buyers of Swiss weapons are legally prohibited from re-exporting them, and some in the country's large arms industry argue that this restriction is now damaging trade.
Meanwhile, calls from Switzerland's European neighbours to allow such transfers to Kiev are growing louder as the Russian offensive intensifies, and the parliamentary security committee has already twice recommended relaxing the rules accordingly.
"We want to be neutral, but we are part of the Western world," said Thierry Burkart, leader of the centre-right FDP party, who has put forward a proposal to the government to allow arms re-exports to countries with democratic values similar to Switzerland's.
The collective Putin wanted to disrupt Western unity and divide NATO. However, the neutral countries of Finland and Sweden will become part of the Alliance, while Switzerland, which has maintained a position of neutrality for centuries, is preparing to abandon it. Well done, Führer Putka. At least in one area.
According to the Polish defence ministry, Patriot missile batteries purchased from the US last year have been deployed in the country's capital, Warsaw, where military exercises are taking place. Sources report at least three surface-to-air missile launchers. Defence Minister Mariusz Blaszczak tweeted at the weekend that the redeployment of the missile batteries from their base in Sochaczew, central Poland, to Warsaw is "an important element of the training of the 3rd Warsaw Missile Air Defence Brigade".
Poland is taking additional measures to strengthen its defence capabilities by allocating a record 4% of GDP to its defence budget and purchasing hundreds of tanks and artillery systems from South Korea.
We believe that our diplomats have already worn more than one pair of shoes and stained more than one suit in their attempts to open the door in Washington behind which decisions are taken on the deployment of Patriot complexes in Lithuania. We look forward to hearing from the talented and distinguished ministers on this subject today.
The President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky, has been invited to attend the European Union summit. The President of the European Council, Charles Michel, has invited Mr Zelensky "to attend the forthcoming summit in person", Michel's spokesman tweeted.
The next EU summit will take place in Brussels on Thursday and Friday of this week. According to media reports, Mr Zelensky may attend the summit and may also give a speech to the European Parliament.
EU officials declined to comment on these reports. Some have noted that if news of such a visit were to leak out in advance, it could pose a greater threat to the security of the Ukrainian President and make it less likely that he would make the trip.
On Tuesday, the head of opposition Labour's defence policy said that Britain must develop a new strategy to boost military production and review wasteful procurement to better support Ukraine and show Russia that "things are going to get worse".
Labour's "shadow" political leadership team has set out its plans should Labour win next year's general election. John Healey, the latest Shadow Chancellor, has said that Britain needs to increase defence spending and end troop cuts to not only support Ukraine but also to meet its commitments to the NATO military alliance.
Leaving aside the fact of political dividends and the hunt for ratings, this realisation, albeit a year after the large-scale Russian invasion, is a positive development on a distant island.
Operational level
The Russian forces, who have been constantly launching attacks in the eastern Donbass, have tied up Ukrainian troops, who are unable to carry out any task other than defence. At the same time, Moscow is mobilising additional hordes of Drisks for the offensive expected in the coming weeks. Intense fighting, which has been going on for several weeks, is taking place around the ruins of the town of Bakhmut and the nearby towns of Soledar and Vuhledar.
The Russians are continuously throwing new meat units into the fighting, using simple scorched-earth tactics. In the west of the Donbass, villages and settlements are being wiped off the face of the earth, but shelling with all types of weapons has recently decreased. This may be because the terrorists in the Kremlin are preparing for an intense offensive. This would be confirmed by the dramatic increase in the number of flights of various types of reconnaissance drones and the renewed activity of sabre-rattling and reconnaissance groups.
Ukraine is anticipating a possible Russian offensive in the east and south, according to Vadym Skibicki, a spokesman for Ukrainian military intelligence. He predicted that Russia is likely to continue its offensive in the Donbas and may also launch an offensive in the southern Zaporizhzhya region.
We do not rule out misleading actions to the north of Kyiv. All the more so as sources report that a secret mobilisation is under way in Russia, the aim of which is to gather several hundred thousand more Drisks, bringing the total number of the horde to half a million.
Russia's preparedness for the battles in the southern Zaporizhzhya region is also demonstrated by the fact that yesterday the Russian state-run TASS news agency reported that the construction of protective structures for critical points at the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant is nearing completion. The plant is still close to the front line and has been repeatedly shelled, threatening a nuclear disaster.
The Ukrainian forces are not sitting idly by and are carrying out all the necessary actions to prepare to meet the Russian fascists properly. The Ukrainian Defence Headquarters is considering options for a swift counter-attack to crush the attacking Marauders and to continue the cleansing of Ukrainian soil of Russian contamination.
Tactical level
Russian losses in Ukraine are steadily increasing. 14 tanks, 28 armoured fighting vehicles and an artillery system were destroyed during the day. 6 February. Ukrainian troops put to death 1,030 Russian infiltrators who arrived uninvited with guns to rob, rape and kill.
In total, the Russian army has lost 133190 marauders since the beginning of the invasion.
In the past day, the enemy has launched 6 missile strikes and 24 air strikes, as well as 75 attacks from salvo fire systems, most of them on civilian targets in Kharkiv, Donetsk, Dnipro and Kherson oblasts. Civilian casualties.
The threat of Russian air and missile strikes on the whole territory of Ukraine remains high.
The enemy is regrouping in separate directions. It is concentrating its efforts on offensive operations in the Kupyansk, Lyman, Bakhmut, Avdiivka and Novopavlivka axes.
The occupiers continue to suffer losses. In order to rehabilitate the wounded and to use the civilian population as a shield, the enemy has set up another military hospital in Kherson. Members of the armed forces of the Russian Federation were accommodated on the ground floor of the psychoneurological boarding-house in Kajir, while civilian patients were moved to other floors. The medical equipment was appropriated by the occupiers and taken away from the hospital in the settlement of Velyka Lepetycha.
During the day, the Defence Forces' aviation struck 9 times at the occupiers' concentrations of personnel and military equipment and 2 times at the positions of anti-aircraft missile systems. Our rocket and artillery units struck 8 strikes in areas where the enemy's living force was concentrated.
At Kremin, thanks to the skilful actions of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces, in conjunction with other forces, a sudden counter-attack stopped the Drisks attacking from Kremin in the direction of Kuzmyne. A few kilometres north and north-east of Kuzmyne, a goblin horde was ambushed. Sources on the ground report that the marauders, after heavy losses, have been driven back towards Kreminja, where clashes are continuing in the vicinity.
AP Photo/Daniel Cole. A woman prays in the catacombs of the Pechiori Laura Monastery in Kyiv.
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