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  • Writer's pictureAurimas Navys

WHAT IS RUSSIA PREPARING FOR? (2023 05 10)

Geopolitical situation

Führer Putin blurted out in Red Square on the occasion of the so-called Victory Day that the West had launched a "real war" against Russia. A few hours before this statement, Moscow fired cruise missiles mainly at civilian infrastructure targets in Ukraine. Ukrainian air defences destroyed 23 of the 25 missiles fired.

For more than a year now, after the failure of the 'three-day special operation' to take Kyiv, the Russian government has been trying to portray the invasion of Ukraine as a defence against the threat of the West to its brain-dead zombie public. "Today, civilisation has once again taken a fateful turn", said the international wanted criminal. "A real war has begun against our homeland".

The usual pomp and circumstance to mark 9 May was even more subdued this year than last year. Even in 2020, the year of the COVID-19 pandemic, some 13 000 troops took part in the parade, compared to 11 000 last year. There was no display of military aircraft, the only museum-quality T-34 was replaced by tanks, and the event itself lasted less than the usual hour.

Some analysts were quick to report that the absence of fighter jets was due to the fact that, for fear of a drone attack, anti-aircraft defences had been erected around the site of the celebration, which could have shot down the Russian warplanes themselves. We note with a smile that, no matter how crooked the Russian soldier's hands may be, other reasons are more likely. Firstly, any planes that are still in the air and do not crash themselves are needed on the front. The second reason is psychological: aircraft roaring over the gathering would not fit in with the story just concocted by the FSB's fairy-tale department about how the Ukrainians almost knocked out the elderly 'happy old man'.

Only one foreign leader, Kyrgyz President Sadyr Zhaparov, was due to attend, but the leaders of Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan arrived in Moscow at the last minute. Last year, no leaders took part in the parade. By the way, Lukashenko, the chairman of the potato collective farm, flew home immediately after the parade, surprising not only Putin but also us with his behaviour.

During the celebrations, Prigozhin, the apartment thief, said in a video on his Telegram channel that the Russian troops had abandoned their positions in Bakhmut because of 'the stupidity of their leadership'. "Victory Day marks the victory of our grandparents; we did not deserve this victory one bit. The counter-attack will take place on the ground, not on television", Putin's chef said, adding that the Russian state "is incapable of defending the country". Incidentally, the recidivist called his friend Putin a "happy old man" who does not understand the situation.

Three important moments - the Führer's declaration of a "real war" against Russia, Prigozhin's mumbling about regular Russian troops fleeing the battlefield and the lacklustre parade without conventional fighter jets - suggest that the Russian war criminal regime may be planning for Putin's replacement, announce a general mobilisation (with some other "offensive") and a new "Patriotic War", or withdraw from part of the occupied territories, get well entrenched with the remaining Russians in the remaining annexed parts, and prepare to freeze the conflict and present territorial gains as a victory.

Significant developments

EU lawmakers decided yesterday to speed up legislation to increase the production of ammunition and missiles in the 27-nation bloc in order to support the defence of Ukraine against terrorist Russia.

MEPs voted 518-39, with 31 abstentions, to launch an urgent procedure that will allow the bill to be adopted at the next plenary session of the EU legislature at the end of the month. Negotiations with EU Member States can then start.

It is essential to get the "much needed ammunition" to Ukraine quickly, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky told a joint press conference with EC President Ursula von der Leyen in Kyiv on Tuesday.

Oleksiy Danilov, Secretary of Ukraine's National Security and Defence Council, said yesterday that we should not get our hopes up for a counter-offensive and that Ukraine has already proved that it is an independent state.

"When anyone starts talking about anything, even from respected institutions in the West, believe me: there are no people who know exactly all our plans today. Because the final (counter-attack) plans have not yet been confirmed", he said. "We have several options. All of them are working. Depending on the circumstances, one or the other decision will be taken."

We said last year that any talk of any attacks, counter-attacks or counter-retreats is just part of an information operation. Take it with complete calm and a smile. Neither you nor we will know about the plans for an attack until we see the dribbles running in panic out of Ukraine.

Briefly

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen arrived in Kyiv yesterday. Selfie politicians often go to shake hands with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, but this neither brings Ukraine closer to NATO or EU accession nor a real victory over the Driskis hordes on the battlefield. "Ukraine has fought for the European ideals we celebrate today to create lasting unity and peace," von der Leyen spouted on her way to Kyiv.

Protesters and a large installation depicting Russian atrocities in Ukraine blocked the Russian ambassador to Poland, who wanted to lay a wreath at the Warsaw memorial to Soviet soldiers on Tuesday during Russia's Victory Day celebrations.

Chinese exports grew by 8.5% in April and unexpectedly strengthened despite a drop in global demand. Compared to the previous year, exports rose to EUR 295.4 billion. Exports rose by 14.8% year-on-year in March, albeit at a slower pace, reflecting a 14.8% increase.

On Tuesday, China announced that it was expelling a senior Canadian diplomat in response to Ottawa's order for a Chinese consular official to leave the country over alleged threats against a Canadian legislator and his family. The foreign ministry said China was taking "countermeasures against Canada's unfair move", which it said it "strongly opposes".

Agence France-Presse, the French international news agency, reported that its Ukrainian video coordinator was killed on Tuesday in a rocket attack near the town of Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine. Arman Soldin, 32, was with a group of AFP journalists travelling with Ukrainian troops when the group was hit by Grad rockets, the agency reported. The rest of the AFP team was unharmed.

Lithuania

Yesterday, a Member of the Seimas developed a long-masked Bolshevik mentality syndrome. The political misfit, who made anti-Semitic statements on Facebook and from the rostrum, received an international backlash.

It is very sad for us that the consistent efforts and measures taken by the EU and other countries over the years to regulate the inhuman relations in the West Bank and the other Palestinian territories under the Israeli administration are not encouraging.

Israel's policy in the West Bank territory of C, through the destruction of Palestinian schools since the signing of the Oslo Accords in 1993 and even before, is, unfortunately, nothing short of cultural genocide. We deplore the fact that a people who survived the horrific Holocaust and created their own state allow their political leadership to destroy the Palestinian identity in the field of education and culture.

However, what saddens us the most is that a political outsider has the tacit approval of the great-grandchildren of the peasants of the smoke-bath. Žemaitaitis and Gražulis alike in the Seimas are, unfortunately, not a coincidence, but a regularity.

Together, dear friends, we have mountains of hard, consistent and long educational work ahead of us. When the 5th column scum throw paint on the monuments of our freedom fighters, they can be washed away quite quickly and CCTV cameras can be installed to strengthen the security. When intellectual misfits are pouring anti-Semitic information garbage on our country, neither soap nor cameras can help.

The photo shows a toilet being brought to the monument to Zhukov in Kazakhstan.

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